An Intriguing Native Diver (G3) Long Shot… – Super Screener
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An Intriguing Native Diver (G3) Long Shot…

In selecting races to include in this Saturday’s Super Screener, I bypassed the Native Diver (G3) being run at Del Mar due to the lack of value it is projected to return in this field of five horses. However, it does offer some intrigue, especially behind Midcourt.

I was really hoping #4 Midcourt would have run in the Breeder’s Cup because he would have been a top pick in the Dirt Mile at odds of 20-1. His ideal distance, however, is really 1 1/8 miles which bodes for a repeat win in this year’s edition of the Native Diver. Last year, he opened up a length on #5 Extra Hope in this race and it was that pair running 1-2  throughout with #4 Midcourt drawing away with ease to win by over 5 lengths. We could very well see a similar outcome in this year’s renewal of the Native Diver.

While #4 Midcourt would be the Super Screener’s lone “A” horse in the race, the 2nd place slot might be filled with a bit more value. 

Check out #2 Stellar Sound:

There’s a lot to like about this 3 yr-old filly facing the big boys for the first time. By no means is she a win candidate but a 2nd place finish at a price?…she’s viable. Trainer Michael McCarthy is doing quite well at this abbreviated meet…winning 3 of 5 races entered. He doesn’t run horses just to run so this filly is well intended.  Afterall, even a 2nd or 3rd place finish in a G3 field of 5 yields a nice paycheck.

This filly won her debut on the Del Mar surface, so we can check that box. She is also begging for more ground as she laid out energy in a balanced way in that last out blow-away win and her breeding (red circle) shows that this Tapit filly has the potential to get a 1 1/4 or longer so stretching out another furlong is a big positive here. As the red arrow indicates, she is on an orderly form cycle ascent and with this being just her 2nd race since February, look for a huge new top to be generated here. That is only supported further by those brilliant recent works submitted a few weeks ago. Last but not least, she owns a pace advantage in this compact field as noted by the green highlighted 2nd call BRIS pace figures. She won’t need that kind of speed in the early going here so that means she’ll be able to reserve all kinds of energy for that critical final furlong. A lot to like and because this is a no-name filly running against the boys, you are likely to get better than those 6-1 Morning Line odds.

So, if you are planning on wagering on this race, a cold 4-2 Exacta might be the way to generate some value coming out of this race versus a win bet on the overly chalky #4 Midcourt.

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