Formful Kentucky Derby 2018 Produces Exacta, Trifecta Payouts - Super Screener
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Formful Kentucky Derby 2018 Produces Exacta, Trifecta Payouts

Photo by Jessica Morgan/Eclipse Sportswire

Super Screener readers cashed on Kentucky Derby Day!

21 recommended Trifecta tickets hit – here’s a look at some of those winners!

 

 

What a Derby!  What a horse! What a fast pace!  Given that the early fractions from this year’s running of the Kentucky Derby came back to a BRIS figure of 103, it is astonishing that the winner, Justify, was able to run that fast early and still draw away through the wire with authority on what was yet another Kentucky Derby run on a dreadful, sealed, sloppy surface.

He is the first horse to win the Derby without racing as a 2 year-old since Apollo achieved that feat back in 1882.  He also won the Derby having raced just 3 times which makes him only the 2nd horse in the 144 runnings of the Kentucky Derby to do so (Big Brown was the other horse to win with only 3 starts).

 

Our lone two “A” horses nearly finished 1-2 in the race, but Audible, while coming on late, missed 2nd place to Good Magic (a prominent Super Screener Super 7 member) by a diminishing head.  Both of these horses impressed and will be heard from later this summer.

We achieved our stated goal of hitting the Trifecta with three horses from our top seven ranked horses while having our “A” horse figure prominently in the Trifecta.

 

We knew it was a tough year for a long shot bomb to crack the Trifecta and our Top Long Shot bomber picks. Lone Sailor (24-1) finished a good 8th with no apparent excuses and Hofburg
(27-1) finished 7th but clearly suffered the most troubled trip of any horse in the field.  He had three points in the race in which he had to steady severely costing him many precious lengths.  A better trip easily puts him the Trifecta and he is definitely a horse to tab the next time he runs which will probably be the Belmont Stakes…though if we were connections, given his horrible trip and how lightly raced he is, a run in the Preakness might prove to be surprisingly successful.

 

The other Super Screener Top Long Shot pick that was under consideration was My Boy Jack, but mysteriously, he went off as the 2nd lowest price horse on the board at 6-1 which eliminated him as a Super Screener Top Long Shot pick though he was highly regarded by the Screener.  Still can’t figure out how that could be, but perhaps the name is catchy enough to have drawn in a lot of wagering dollars from the general public at large.  He finished a very fast-finishing 5th and that is after having to hit the breaks twice during the running of the race.  He’s another that with a clean trip would have easily cracked the Superfecta.

 

With Justify finishing first and two single-digit odds horses completing the Trifecta, payoffs for the Exacta and Trifecta were pretty thin, but that meant more suggested tickets cashed which is want you want to see when the payoffs are low.

 

It is now on to the Preakness Stakes and it will be interesting to see who will try to take on the mighty Justify.  And, don’t worry if the race comes up chalky with a small field, we’ll go to the Horizontal wagers to look for and deliver value.

 

We can’t thank you enough for your continued support of our Kentucky Derby, Triple Crown, Breeders’ Cup and weekly Super Screener product.  It is our absolute pleasure to serve you with this form of deep and thoughtful analysis while educating along the way. We wouldn’t be here without you so a big THANK YOU from your Super Screener team.

 

Best of luck to you over the last two legs of the Triple Crown … could we have a Triple Crown winner in the making?  Justify sure validated his Derby favoritism and “A” rating in an emphatic way.

 

Until next time…Go Fast and Win!

 

With deep gratitude,

 

Mike Shutty

Super Screener Author

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