Hot Foster Night – Get the Recap

Wise Dan (G2)

With the scratch of #2 Shining Copper, that left Mr Cub and World Approval as the lone “forwardly placed” types but despite the easy lead set by Mr Cub, and just like this year’s Chicago Cubs, he was just not good enough and the Super Screener Top Win and Top Value pick, Mr. Misunderstood sat 3.5 lengths off Mr Cub, as projected, and then shot past that foe and held off the late charging Inspector Lynley for the win.  We got nothing close to morning line odds of 10-1 on Mr. Misunderstood, as anticipated, but the Sceener called it right…

 

“The Super Screener Top Win and Top Value pick in this race is the up and comer, #5 Mr. Misunderstood. He has been steadily improving since his return to racing late last Summer.  He faced tougher in the G1 Makers Mark at Keeneland last out and did not have the best of trips, yet, he still managed to submit a lifetime top.  Rested up now and gets a great, pressured pace set up for that sharp turn of foot which allows him to effectively negotiate any type of pace set up.  Look for a perfect trip sitting just 3 to 4 lengths off #2 Shining Copper and then along with #1 Divisidero, he’ll be coming on late on this turf course that he prefers.  Offers tremendous value at 10-1.”

 

World Approval is clearly not the same horse we saw winning the 2017 Breeders’ Cup Mile.  This is now two very dull efforts in a row and the barn is in serious regroup on this horse as of this writing.  Hopefully there is nothing wrong with him, physically.

 

Both Mr Cub and Inspector Lynley were horses that the Super Screener indicated would offer value and they were used in 2nd and 3rd in tight Trifecta’s with the top pick Mr. Misunderstood.  One of those Trifecta’s hit for a decent $186 return. We were a neck away from cashing on that tight $3 Trifecta as Divisidero, who loves the CD turf course, could not make in 4 wins in a row on that surface but also couldn’t quite get that 3rd place finish.

 

And, the Super Screener finally got Flatlined right as the last place finisher…a horse the Screener has struggled to get right in past races!

Fleur de Lis (G2)

The Super Screener Top Win and Top Board Hitter pick made it two in a row on the day and won this race rather easily sitting off that easy, lone pace set by Farrell as Apologynotaccepted was not up for the challenge, and then used that solid late turn of foot to get the victory.

 

“#3 Blue Prize is the Super Screener Top Win and Top Board Hitter pick.  She’s a reliable sort that has never missed the Trifecta in 6 starts and she is 3 for 3 in the Exacta at Churchill Downs running against similar.  She dueled through energy-depleting hot fractions last out but was game enough to hold on for second while the rest of the front runners were nowhere to be found.  Gets back on a preferred fast track and will press more reasonable and comfortable fractions leaving plenty in the tank for that stretch run and she gets first run on closers.  She makes for that perfect “key” horse to use in first and second in wagers.”

The Super Screener did not pay Farrell enough respect penalizing him too much for the slow effort last out and anticipating more more early dueling with Apologynotaccepted.  He then outlasted the Super Screener #2 and #3 picks, Mopotism and Awestruck who finished 3rd and 4th, respectively. However, in the suggested wagers, we gave Farrell the respect he deserved just in case he could get loose and included him in our $3/$6 Trifecta ticket in 2nd place (as quality front runners like this one finish in 2nd place a lot) and locked our next 3 highest ranked horses in 3rd.  It worked out and those Trifectas paid $224.55 / $449.10.

 

Stephen Foster (G1)

The Super Screener was not very bullish around Irish War Cry who went off as the 2nd choice in this race but was pulled up and, fortunately, showed no signs of physical injury.  He has failed to string two good races together over his brief career and failed to do so again Saturday night.  He was a poor betting proposition at the very least.

 

The Super Screener needed Backyard Heaven or Honorable Duty to come through big here.  Honorable Duty delivered on expectations and finished a hard-fought 2nd at 7-1.  Backyard Heaven, however, backed up and packed up showed nothing in his first career flop. Note that the Brown barn and the Pletcher barn have gone cold as of late…gearing up for Saratoga perhaps?

 

Pavel finally submitted that breakthrough race and connections are now pointing to the Breeders’ Cup Classic.

 

#9 Pavel finally looks like he can improve here and we may even get some value…next best “value under” player.

 

We respected Pavel, but we lost this one due to depending on Backyard Heaven to the hit the Exacta.

 

Regret (G3)

Heading into this race, the Super Screener was alive to two Pick 4 tickets and needed either #11 Romantic Moment or #12 Go Noni Go to win.  If it was the latter horse, the 50 cent Pick 4 was paying out at over $1,000. She gave us one heck of a thrill and race track caller Travis Stone thought she might draw away for the win but Beyond Blame ruined the party with that well earned win in this wide open affair.  We respected her and thought she had a shot but not enough of a Screener score and conviction to put her on top.

 

In this kind of wide open race you have to spread and we just went too tight on the primary wagers.  Even working #12 Go Noni Go and #11 Romantic Moment over and under in Trifectas using our next 6 ranked horses would have gotten the job done.

 

Next Saturday, Canterbury Downs has a decent card with several minor stakes races so we might show a little love to our Minnesota friends this weekend.  The Ohio Derby is on tap at Thistledown as are a smattering other stakes races at Arlington Park, Santa Anita, Laurel Park, Parx and Woodbine. Plenty of action to choose from and we’ll pick the best of the betting propositions from that bunch.

 

Until this weekend, Go Fast and Win!

 

Mike