Man O’War Day RECAP!

Peter Pan (G3)

Well, the Super Screener got his race half right, as the strong conviction that backed the Top Long Shot pick, Sir Winston, as the most likely 2^nd place finisher at a price was fulfilled as he came from far, far back in this compact field to close rapidly to finish 2^nd at 14-1.

“#4 Sir Winston is a reliable sort to be used “under” in Exactas. He has a strong foundation and has the valuable 1 1/8 experience. He’ll sit closer here due to the softer pace but will be running fastest late potentially adding value to the Exacta.”

As for the win contender, Global Campaign was anything but vulnerable as he pressed the anticipated pace setter, Federal Case, through strong fractions, and he went on to draw away from the rest of his rivals while holding off the late-charging Sir Winston for the win.

Intrepid Heart lost this race at the gate having gone to his knees, which resulted in spotting the field about 4 lengths. May be a strong play back in his next outing. Final Jeopardy had no excuses.

Man O’War (G1)

The Super Screener top three ranked horses completed the Trifecta including a win by Channel Maker as he moved back to his favorite track scoring at 6-1.  Arklow needed the race as surmised but nearly won it at 6-1 as well. This horse will be a key win play next time out assuming pace and competition level are favorable.  Most importantly, the Super Screener Top Long Shot pick, Hunting Horn, held on for an easy 4^th just missing 3^rd place after doing all the work up front. He fulfilled on our prediction that he was a better horse than he was the last time we saw him stateside.  

The suggested Trifecta and Superfecta wagers triggered for a return of nearly $1,400.

Here’s what the Super Screener had to say about this foursome prior to the race:

“#8 Channel Cat’s form is pretty darkened now and he returns to his favorite sweeping-turns Belmont Turf course against easier to finally return to a top effort at what should be a square price. Is far better than his last 3 starts.”

“#4 Arklow would have been ranked on top had it not been for the long layoff which was extended when the horse dumped his jock at the start in that April race. Was pointed to this race and really needed that prep coming into this. He is the best horse in the race so it is just a matter of whether or not he is ready to fire now.”

“#5 Magic Wand. This filly faces the boys again as she did when finishing a very game 2nd running arguably the best race as she was close to the fire that defined that pace yet ran evenly to the wire passing three horses. She tracked another fast pace in Dubai but found that turf course and distance to be a bit too much. Has had sufficient rest now after a long 2018 campaign and makes just her 3rd start since November. Offers plenty of upside.  Tracks the modest pace then just keeps coming holding off late closers.”

“While #1 Hunting Horn has raced 4 times in the US over the past year, he has never been a long shot candidate.  If the price is right here, the Super Screener now designates him as the top long shot in the race. He has finished relatively close to horses like #2 Zulu Alpha, Carrick, Analyze It and Catholic Boy. He ran his best US race in January off the layoff and has improved since that race. He finally gets his shot now to improve enough to complete the Trifecta or Superfecta at a what should be a big price (we wouldn’t use him unless he is 15-1 or longer). He is best just settling into a stride and then continuing to grind forward with distance and turf condition presenting no obstacles. Very useful at a price.”

Hanshin Cup (G3)

The Super Screener’s top three picks finished 1,3,4 including the Top Value Play, Lanier, winning easily at 5-1.  What’s Up Dude spoiled the party finishing second as the longest shot on the board at 47-1. The Super Screener acknowledged that you could toss his recent races on dirt and turf as he was clearly best on Polytrack, but there were no races run on the Polytrack surfaces last year, even if you were to build in forward movement, that would have made him competitive with the top three choices.

Like Del Mar and other select tracks around the nation, the horse-for-course angle can be particularly powerful and as Arlington Park is just a week into their meet, there will be other opportunities to spot horses that ran poorly since their last race at AP but had run their best races at that meet…and they will probably make even more sense than What’s Up Dude yet still yield a ton of value.

Mamzelle Stakes

This was pegged as a great betting race by the Super Screener and remained that way even with the scratches of 3 contenders, and then later the scratch of our key horse, Chelsea Cloisters, who we singled in our wagers which removed them from play given the scratch. The Super Screener tabbed Change of Control as a Top Long Shot pick and she went off at 35-1. The pace was hot and she circled the field and closed with a rush to score the massive win.
In addition, our other Top Long shot pick, Raintree Starlet, hung on for 4^th at 15-1, which was a really strong effort considering she did all the work on the front end carving out those white hot fractions.

#8 Change of Control – TOP LONGSHOT/OFF PACE – Her best effort came when she broke her maiden against easier on the sloppy surface at FG.  Could not follow that up with a win but did close for third. Will be sitting 2nd from last. Closes sharply on distance cutback

#2 Raintree Starlet – TOP LONG SHOT/PRESSER – Great long shot play flying under the radar. Toss that last as she broke out at the start, checked hard heading into the turn losing at least 5 lengths and then was floated 7 wide into the turn. Improves big with a clean trip.

With the suggested wagers going null post the scratch of Chelsia Cloisters, hopefully you were able to use this information to string together a winning play.

Now it is time for Pimlico Race Course’s day in the sun, headlined by the very competitive Preakness Stakes boasting a bountiful field of 12 contestants right now. Of course, like we enjoyed on Derby day, the Preakness undercard will feature several full-field, competitive graded stakes races to round out a great day of racing. Current forecast is for a sunny day in the mid-70’s, so maybe we’ll finally get that fast track we have been looking for.

Until this coming weekend, Go Fast and Win!

Mike