Crushing the Canadian International – BIG RESULTS!
- Updated: October 17, 2016
Sophie Shore/Eclipse Sportswire
G1 Canadian International
The Super Screener concluded the weekend with our top ranked horse, #8 Erupt, taking command in the stretch and winning with authority at crazy good odds of over 12-1! Here’s what we had to say about our top pick:
Of the Euros, you can make a case for any of them. Super Screener sees #8 Erupt as a bit of a fooler here that might be flying under the radar versus his other Euro foes. Always like to see European types come in fresh like this one. Does his best on the firm going loves this 1 1/2 mile distance.
#5 Dartmouth ran a big race as well finishing a clear 2nd demonstrating once again that the path to the winner’s circle of this year’s Breeders’ Cup Turf will most certainly come through Europe.
(Dartmouth) The Queen’s horse is coming into this race in top form. Running on terms with the great Highland Reel and faces much easier here today. 4 yr-old prefers the firmer going. Will be held up early and runs big late.
The Super Screener suggested wagers popped for over $2,200 including hitting the Trifecta seven times. Just warming up for what promises to be a Breeder’s Cup weekend full of great wagering value across the 13 races!
G1 E.P. Taylor
The Super Screener had a strong showing in this year’s E.P. Taylor correctly fading the European shippers for the Exacta as our top two ranked horses #3 Suffused and #7 Al’s Gal completed a juicy Exacta separated by just a nose. Here’s what we had to say about the top two finishers:
(Al’s Gal) Nearly won the Beverly D. and looked better than Sea Calisi. Came right back and won against lesser. Has not missed the Exacta in the past 5 starts nor the Superfecta in the past 10 starts. Top board hitter candidate. Sharp.
(Suffused) In top form and projects to move forward again third off the layoff. Perfect energy distribution profile with a major pace advantage here. Ideal distance and will appreciate WO wide sweeping turns. Top win contender and value.
Coming into this year’s Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf the US-based horses really do appear to be superior to their European rivals and they proved it once again. In particular, the 3 year-old European-based filly turf routers are coming up particularly weak this year.
In the end, the Super Screener suggested Exacta and Trifecta wagers returned a nice score of nearly $1,100!
G1 QEII Challenge Cup
As the Super Screener accurately anticipated, #1 Catch a Glimpse went to the front and it was the Euro shipper, #5 Hawksmoor that was indeed her closest pursuer. That’s the way it stayed until they hit the stretch which is when Hawksmoor took the lead and Catch a Glimpse had nothing left and began her retreat. Hawksmoor looked super here as she contested the pressured pace but hung on doggedly to finish third by the narrowest of margins.
The pace and overall race flow could not have worked better for #7 Time and Motion. She bided her time, mid pack and in the clear, before unleashing a very bold move heading into the turn and then just ran down Hawksmoor and held off the late charging #4 Harmonize for the well-earned win. This is what we said about Time and Motion:
(Time and Motion) Proven and has a ton of grit. 2 for 2 at this distance and we have not seen her best. Will secure a perfect outside, off the pace position in a tightly bunched field. Perfect energy distribution profile under these conditions
Our top pick, #2 On Leave, endured a really tough trip having checked prior to the first turn and getting shuffled back a few lengths in the process. She never looked comfortable on the inside and really didn’t find her stride until too late. This one moves up next time out. Of course, she spoiled the Superfecta score that was setting up perfectly for us. We needed either #9 Mokat or #3 Stays in Vegas to get up for 4th to click on our suggested $1 Superfecta wager. Coming down the stretch that pair was running together and it looked certain that one of them would finish 4th. However, On Leave finally got her act together and nudged her way between those two to prevail for 4th in the end. Very frustrating indeed as it was the right wagering strategy that just missed.
It will be interesting to see what connections do with Catch a Glimpse as she is forming a declining form pattern since her victory in the Belmont Oaks Invitational.
All the major Breeders’ Cup preps are now completed but there is plenty of stakes action to cover between now and Breeders’ Cup weekend which is just over a few weeks away. So, looking to build up those Breeder’s Cup bank rolls as we descend upon Santa Anita for this year’s Breeders’ Cup.
So, until next weekend…Go Fast and Win!
Mike
7 Comments